Weekly Weather Report for West Pasco’s
Urban Agriculture Community
A Service Of
Friendship Farms & Fare
Weekly Weather Report
December 21, 2015
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This Fall Will Be The Hottest Fall Ever Recorded
This fall has been abnormally hot, and this is clearly related to Global Warming and Climate Change. It is also likely related to El Nino (“The Boy”), a weather pattern that brings us warmer falls and winters. Next year will be different, and probably not as hot; but the fact that we are so very very hot, and setting records every week, offers rather compelling evidence that Global Warming is impacting Florida in a major way.
Most likely we will not be as hot next year as we have been in this year’s climate-change fall. But in the very near future another fall will come most certainly when it will be hotter than this one, and we will have hotter falls than that in years to come.
Cold Season Begins Monday
The Winter Solstice is Monday December 21 – the “shortest day of the year.” Daylight has been shortening has since the summer solstice – June 21, the day with the longest period of time between sunup and sunset during the year. December 21 is the shortest period between sunup and sunset. Beginning on December 22, the first day of winter, the days will begin to lengthen. This will continue through the Vernal Equinox (when day and night are equal), until the Summer Solstice (June 21), when the days will again begin getting shorter.
Typically, winter brings the coldest temperatures of the year, and we expect that to be the case this year as well – despite Global Warming. So, expect colder temperatures, and maybe even a freeze, in the coming months.
Record-breaking Highs Again Last Week
Brief Cool Spell Over Weekend (12/18-20)
Temps Drop Below Normal For One Day
Then Back to More Record Highs
It is being reported that 2015 will be the hottest year in recorded history – replacing 2014 as the hottest year on record (since records have been kept, 1880)
50 degrees at 4:00 AM, December 19, 2015
Historic Average (for 12/21) 71 HIGH, 53 Weather Underground: http://www.wunderground.com/
Historically, the average high temperature is now 71 degrees (one degree higher than the lowest average high of the year ), and nineteen degrees lower than our highest average ). Our average low is now 53 degrees, twenty-three degrees lower than our highest average low of the year (76), and two degrees higher than lowest average low .
Average highs and lows continue their annual decline, which lasts until January, when we reach our lowest average temperatures – 70 and 51. Thus far for the fall, we have been well above normal.
This past summer Hottest Ever Recorded: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NASA, and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) data indicate this past summer (June-August, 2015) was the hottest in recorded history. NOAA also reports that July was the hottest month in recorded history. We at the 3-F Farm Report are not surprised. See this story.
It is now being reported that 2015 will be the hottest year in recorded history – replacing 2014 as the hottest year on record (since records have been kept, 1880). Ocean and land temperatures were at their all time highs. 2014 was also the warmest winter on record in the Arctic, and May 2015 was the hottest May on record.
Looks like December will join this list.
Know the Science:
This is no great surprise to us. Temperatures have been running well above normal most of the year here at the farms; and for the past few years, our highs and lows have typically run a bit higher than historic averages. Last year the trend continued, and so far this year, it is still continuing. Although humans may enjoy unseasonably warm weather, above normal temperatures stress plants and animals.
According to NASA, 97% of climate scientists agree that global warming and resultant climate change is a reality and most likely due to human activity. http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus/.
Here is NOAA on the human causes of climate change and global warming. http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/pd/climate/factsheets/howhuman.pdf
Last Week (12/11-12/17): Once again, we were above normal every day last past week. It looks like we broke or tied the record high twice (85s on Saturday and Sunday). The closest to normal we got was 79 degrees on Tuesday – when normal is 72.
This Week (12/18-12/24): We’ll have a little rain on Friday AM ahead of a weak front. Looks like we’ll get a degree or two below normal for one day (Saturday 12/19), then back to above normal for the rest of the week – and mid- to upper-80s by the end of the week.
We heard another new way of slating the weather reports to “normalize” the significant aberration in weather we are experiencing due to Climate Change: “It is not uncommon for cold fronts to last only a day or two – then back to higher temperatures.” Well, this is correct, but note that what is omitted in this knowledgeable assertion is the more important fact (and newsworthy observation) is that (1) the cold front brings temperatures only to normal, and (2) the high temperatures are record-breaking or near record highs.
Cold fronts typically take us into the 50s and 40s, then rebound to 60s and 70s. Not so, in Climate Change Florida. Now, cold fronts (if we get them at all) bring us temperatures in the 60s or 70s, with rebounds to 80s. This week’s cold front will take us to the low 50s or upper 40s – which is unusual.
Now, of course, this fall has been abnormally hot, and this is clearly related to Global Warming and Climate Change. It is also likely related to the El Nino (“The Boy”), the weather pattern that brings us warmer falls and winters. Next year will be different, and probably not as hot; but the fact that we are so very very hot, and setting records every week, offers rather compelling evidence that Global Warming is impacting Florida in a major way.
This is exactly what Climate Change looks like. This is how Global Warming works: Three months of fall, with nearly very day’s high above normal, record-breaking highs occurring regularly, and setting all-time record highs for each month.
Most likely we will not be as hot next year as we have been in this year’s climate-change fall. But in the very near future another fall will come with temperatures even hotter than this one, and we will have hotter falls than that in years to come.
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PO Box 596 ● New Port Richey, Florida 34656-0596